- @OneFineJay I'll wait until Rasmussen updates. He still shows #PAsen as Solid GOP, and Toomey with 11pt lead. in reply to OneFineJay #
- @zamoose hasn't Dennis Kucinich (the little-communist-who-could) one sport a full beard? in reply to zamoose #
- @zamoose wait, I'm thinking of someone else… give me a sec… #
- @nacin @OneFineJay they also generally lean *accurately*. Bottom line: I don't trust collegiate polls more than Rasmussen, period. in reply to nacin #
- @zamoose one that I remember: Robert Reich #
- @OneFineJay @nacin Quinnipiac (48-46 Toomey) using bad weighting? Rs 88-8 Toomey, Is 56-35 Toomey. Quinnipiac models way too high D turnout in reply to OneFineJay #
- @OneFineJay @nacin the way I read Quinnipiac's internals, there is NO WAY independents break for Sestak. Toomey wins this one by 5-10 pts. in reply to OneFineJay #
- @OneFineJay @nacin a quick calc says Quinnipiac has R/D/I at 39/40/20 or so. I just don't buy it. (And can't find Morning Call internals) in reply to OneFineJay #
- @zamoose @OneFineJay @nacin I take it back. Cross Quin #PAsen w/ Obama approval, I get D/R/I @ 38%/34.5%/27.5% – IOW: even less likely in reply to zamoose #
- @zamoose @OneFineJay @nacin fun w/ numbers: if I tweak D/R/I (32/38/30) to give Obama 40/56 aprv/disaprv, I get a 52/42 Toomey lead in reply to zamoose #
- @zamoose I did. I get VERY similar numbers, based on party affiliation. in reply to zamoose #
- Is Sestak Closing on Toomey in PA? – http://bit.ly/cFqoiH #
- Is Sestak Closing on Toomey in PA? – http://bit.ly/cFqoiH #PAsen #
- @zamoose I just wrote about this, and referenced the Geraghty NRO piece. in reply to zamoose #
- @zamoose I just tweeted it 😉 http://bit.ly/cFqoiH in reply to zamoose #
- @zamoose you'll like my follow-up, too. It deals with Senate projections. in reply to zamoose #
- Senate Projection for October 21 – http://bit.ly/amWdyu #senate #tcot #
- @zamoose my Senate projection post: http://bit.ly/beZ72b in reply to zamoose #
- @unlikelyvoter my thoughts (and amateur projection) based upon your projection: Senate Projection for October 21 – http://bit.ly/amWdyu #
- @18to88 ummm, I thought we were supposed to get *healthier* during the bye week? in reply to 18to88 #
- @LovinBlue Mookie. (And I was only kidding about the roll of bondo-covered duct tape in a Colts jersey; *really* I was! Now I'm not so sure) in reply to LovinBlue #
- @presjpolk my thoughts (and amateur projection) based upon your projection: Senate Projection for October 21 – http://bit.ly/amWdyu #
- @presjpolk as would be expected, eh? Totally different assumptions & significantly different estimated probabilities for competitive races in reply to presjpolk #